THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE FACTBOOK 2008

 

Published Under the Authority

 of the Council of:

 

THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE

STOCK EXCHANGE HOUSE

  2/4 Customs Street,

P.O. Box 2457, Lagos

 Telephone: 234-01-2660287, 2660305, 2660335, 2669978, 2661293

   Telex 23567 STEX.NG

Fax: 234-01-2668281, 2668724

E-mail: nse@nigerianstockexchange.biz

Website:www.nigerianstockexchange.com

 

 

BRANCHES:

Abuja (Area Office)

Kaduna

Port Harcourt

Kano

Onitsha

Ibadan

Yola

Benin

Ilorin

Uyo

 

EDITORIAL BOARD

Prof. Ndi Okereke-Onyiuke, PhD, OON (Chairman)

Mr. Kene Okafor (Editor)

Mr. Farooq Oreagba (Editor)

Mr. Arize Nwobu (Deputy Editor)

  

Copyright:

The Nigerian  Stock Exchange

ISBN 978 0262 - 1 - 6

 

Design/Typesetting by: Management Information Technology Department of The Nigerian Stock Exchange, 2/4 Customs Street, Lagos.

 

Produced by:

Pathway Communications Ltd.,

5/6, Adekunle Odunlami Crescent,

Next to AfriBank Estate,

Ilupeju - Lagos.

Nigeria.

Tel: 01-7911733

 

FACTBOOK 2008

 

 

 

A REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE OF THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE IN 2007

By

Professor Ndi Okereke-Onyiuke, PhD, OON

Director General/Chief Executive Officer

 

 

1.0       The Operating Environment

The economy performed below projection, recording an average GDP growth rate of 6.3%, as against the target of 10% set for the year but higher than the 5.6% recorded in 2006. Growth was driven principally by the non-oil sector, as the continuing crisis in the Niger-Delta area constrained crude oil exploration and production. By year-end, crude oil production shut-in stood at 0.9mbd, while the non-oil sector recorded an estimated 9-month average growth rate of 9.3%. The downstream sector of the petroleum industry remained comatose and the country relied on the imported refined petroleum products for domestic and industrial operations. Official confirmation from NNPC showed that the country lost N16.9billion to petroleum pipeline vandalization. Meanwhile, earnings from non-oil export was above $1 billion, the highest in the country’s history.

 

As at end-September 2007, manufacturing capacity utilization according to Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) dropped from 44.06% in 2006 to 43.5%, due to the difficult operating environment. Nevertheless, gross official external reserves rose by 20% to stand at about US$50.75 billion by end-December 2007, when compared with US$42.3billion in December 2006 attributed to high crude oil prices. Thus, CBN was able to adequately defend the external value of the Naira, which appreciated by 8.03% to close at N116.80/$. Inflation rate remained within the single digit target. By December 2007, the headline inflation rate stood at 6.6%, down from 8.2% in December 2006. Also, the All-maturities average Nigerian Inter-bank Offer Rate (Nibor) closed at 12.6%, thus achieving a positive real interest rate.

 

The IMF completed the fourth and final review of the country’s two-year Policy Support Instrument (PSI), with Nigeria receiving high commendation for the strong macroeconomic performance under the programme. Nigeria’s total foreign debt stock is estimated at US$3.63 billion, down from about US$20.54 billion in 2004, while domestic debt stock is estimated at N1.9 trillion. External debt position was highest in 2005 at US$35.94 billion.

 

The consolidation programme in the insurance sector was concluded during the year, with the Central Bank releasing about N80 billion that was raised by the insurance firms during recapitalisation programme to the successful companies.

 

2.0       The Stock Market

Global stock markets had a turbulent time in 2007, owing especially to declining consumer spending and weak corporate performance. In addition, U.S. subprime mortgage lending crisis sparked off credit squeeze and increased cost of borrowing in many developed economies.

 

In Nigeria, the stock market recorded a significant rise in activity as a result of:

n                    High lending rates in the money market

n                    Improved macroeconomic performance

n                    Profit-taking and

n                    Stock switching by investors.

 

2.1        Secondary Market Turnover

Activity in the secondary market was influenced by the improved awareness of the opportunities in the stock market, improved operating results by some quoted companies, large available float (especially in the banking and insurance sectors), sustained inflow of pension funds, and low interest rates on deposits in the money market. 

 

Turnover on The Exchange closed the year at N2.1 trillion or 9.1% of GDP, up by 343.7% on the N470.25 billion (2.6% of GDP) recorded in 2006. Average daily activity rose from 570.6 million shares worth N8.62 billion in 2007 to 150.9 million shares valued at N1.94 billion in 2007.  

 

The bulk of the transactions were in equities, which accounted for N2.08 trillion or 99.86% of the turnover value, up from the 99.6% recorded in 2006. Transactions in the Industrial Loans sector accounted for N2.87 billion or 0.14%.

 

The Federal Government Development Stocks sector and Preference Stocks subsectors were inactive on The Exchange in 2007. In 2006 turnover on Federal Government bonds on The Exchange stood at N1.6 billion. Significantly, a turnover of N4.13 trillion in 30,182 deals was recorded in the Over-the-Counter (OTC) market for Federal Government bonds, as against N624.81 billion in 5,448 deals recorded in that market in 2006.

 

However, in all, The Exchange’s Turnover Ratio sustained its improvement, rising from 14.70% in 2006 to 28.21% in 2007.

 

2.2   The Year’s 20 Most Active Stocks By Turnover Volume

1.       Wema Bank Plc                                  -         13.072 billion shares

2.       Fidelity Bank Plc                                 -           7.595 billion shares

3.       First City Monument Bank Plc          -           6.478 billion shares

4.       First Inland Bank Plc                          -           5.867 billion shares

5.       Intercontinental Bank Plc                  -           5.281 billion shares

6.       Lasaco Assurance Plc                       -           5.233 billion shares

7.       Access Bank Plc                                 -           4.492 billion shares

8.       Transnational Corp. of Nigeria Plc  -           4.092 billion shares

9.       Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc       -           3.928 billion shares

10.    Cornerstone Insurance Plc               -           3.807 billion shares

11.    International Energy Insurance Plc-           3.660 billion shares

12.    United Bank for Africa Plc                 -         3.634 billion shares

13.    Union Bank of Nigeria Plc                -           3.598 billion shares

14.    Afribank Nigeria Plc                           -           3.424 billion shares

15.    Skye Bank Plc                                     -           3.320 billion shares

16.    Sterling Bank Plc                                -           3.241 billion shares

17.    Guaranty Trust Bank Plc                   -           3.188 billion shares

18.    NEM Insurance Co. Plc                     -           3.051 billion shares

19.    Unity Bank Plc                                    -           2.744 billion shares

20.    Oceanic Bank International Plc       -           2.541 billion shares

 

The banking and insurance subsectors accounted for 19 of the Top 20 companies by turnover volume, as a fallout of the recapitalisation programme, which boosted the available float in both subsectors and created the condition for block trades in the listed companies. Another major factor was the directive by the Central Bank that no state government should hold more than 10% equity interest in any bank, which led to major divestment by some parastatals.

 

2.3   Trading In Rights

Investors traded rights in seven companies, as in 2006. In all, 177 deals valued at N207.73 million were executed in this market segment in 2007, down by 58.8% on the N504.7 million value of transactions in the previous year. The companies whose rights were traded last year are:

·         First Bank of Nigeria Plc

·         Livestock Feeds Plc

·         University Press Plc

·         Eterna Oil & Gas Plc

·         Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc

·         Nigerian Aviation Handling Co. Plc

·         Costain (WA) Plc

 

2.4  Foreign Portfolio Investment

The Exchange lived up to its billing as an avenue for foreign investment in Nigeria. In 2007, foreign investors sustained their high confidence in the Nigerian economy as represented by The Exchange. Their appetite for the Nigerian market remained strong, considering the high returns, liquidity and safety of investments. Statistics, so far, showed purchases by foreign investors during 2007 to be in excess of N256 billion, representing 12.3% of the aggregate turnover. This was an improvement over the N35 billion recorded in 2006.

 

2.5   Market Capitalization

The total market value of 309 securities listed on The Exchange increased by 159.6% to stand at N13.295 trillion by year-end.  Price appreciations by equities consequent upon macroeconomic stability and improved corporate results explain in large part the growth of the market capitalization during the year. Additional factors included the listing of new securities (equities and bonds).

 

There were many supplementary issues in the banking subsector, while the insurance subsector listed some scheme shares arising from the mergers and acquisitions elicited by the industry consolidation.  By year-end, the market capitalization of the 212 listed equities accounted for N10.301 trillion or 77.5% of the aggregate market capitalization.

 

 

At the end of the year, the following 20 companies emerged with the highest market capitalization, in descending order:

           

S/No.        Company                                 Market Capitalization (N’Bn)

1)              First Bank of Nigeria Plc                              889.084

2)              Intercontinental Bank Plc                            752.593

3)              United Bank for Africa Plc                           558.869

4)              Zenith Bank Plc                                             533.810

5)              Union Bank of Nigeria Plc                           498.624

6)              Guaranty Trust Bank Plc                              479.625

7)              Oceanic Bank International Plc                  435.411

8)              Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc                       389.500

9)              Nigerian Breweries Plc                                 370.565

10)            Ecobank Transnational Incorporated        292.250

11)            Diamond Bank Plc                                        254.238

12)            IBTC Chartered Bank Plc                             248.625

13)            West African Portland Cement Co. Plc     239.528

14)            PlatinumHabib Bank Plc                              205.197 

15)            Fidelity Nigeria Plc                                        194.765 

16)            Guinness Nigeria Plc                                   191.740

17)            Afribank Nigeria Plc                                      186.907

18)            Nestle Nigeria Plc                                          182.786

19)            First City Monument Bank Plc                    180.3

20)            Ecobank Nigeria Plc                                     172.151 

 

 

2.6   The All-Share Index

The Nigerian Stock Exchange All-Share Index grew by 74.73% or 24,800.92 points to close at an historic value of 57,990.22, compared to 33,189.30 in 2006. The performance of the Index reflects positive improvement in prices of most quoted equities during the year, especially the highly capitalised stocks. 

 

2.7    New Issues

There was improved activity in the Primary Market throughout the year, following principally from the increased recourse to the stock market by companies and governments. Also, some mergers and acquisitions were concluded through the facility of The Exchange.

 

In 2007, The Exchange considered and approved 65 applications for new issues and mergers & acquisitions valued at N2.4 trillion or 10.5% of GDP, as against 69 applications for new issues valued at N1.65 trillion in 2006. 

 

The banking sector accounted for 66.1% with 19 applications valued at N1.6 trillion while the non-bank corporate issues accounted for 12.25% of the new issues approved in 2007, with 39 applications valued at N294.12 billion. Government bond issue accounted for N520.01 billion or 21.7% of the total amount approved during the year.

 

Further analysis of new issues approved in 2007 showed that the sum of N719.93 billion was raised through Initial Public Offering (IPO) and supplementary issues; N168.13 billion through rights issues; and N520.01 billion through bonds issue, including the Federal Government bond.

 

Listing by Introduction accounted for N99.21 billion, in addition to eleven applications for supplementary listings valued at N410.23 billion. Shares Placing and Preference Share Issue accounted for N26.5 billion and N69.63 billion. Also approved were five applications for mergers and acquisitions valued at N29.7 billion and two applications by Unit Trusts for the issuance of securities valued at N7 billon.

 

The bulk of the approvals in the banking sector were to raise fresh funds through public and rights offering valued at N697.9 billion and N152.8 billion, respectively. Also, three banks obtained approval to execute Global Depository Receipts (GDR) valued at N186.23 billion.

 

Thirty-two of the applications approved during 2007, with a market value of N1.2 trillion, have been concluded and admitted to the Daily Official List.

 

 

2.8    Major Primary Market Transactions in 2007

 

Top Five New Issues

 

No. Issuer                                                      Amount (N)    Type of Issue

1     First Bank of Nigeria Plc                      250 billion     Hybrid: Public Offer and Rights   

2     Oceanic Bank International Plc         174.6 billion  Public Offer  

3     Zenith Bank Plc                                    129.6 billion  Hybrid: Public and Rights Offers

4     Guaranty Trust Bank Plc                     114.6 billion  Global Depository Receipts(GDR)           

5     Afribank Nigeria Plc                             100.0 billion  Public Offer  

 

2.9    New Listings in 2007

The number of securities listed on The Exchange increased to 309, up from 288 in 2006. The new listings are:

 

Equity

1.   Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc

2.   Continental Reinsurance Plc

3.   Custodian & Allied Insurance Plc

4.   STACO Insurance Plc

5.   International Energy Insurance Plc

6.   Oasis Insurance Plc

7.   Airline Services & Logistics Plc

8.   Ikeja Hotel Plc

9.   Red Star Express Plc

10. Big Treat Plc

11. National Sports Lottery Plc

12. Deap Capital Management & Trust Plc

 

Bond

1.   N10 billion 3rd FGN Bond 2013 Series 15

2.   N10 billion 3rd FGN Bond 2013 Series 16

3.   N4.107 billion FGN Bond Contractors Debt 2011

4.   N40 billion 4th FGN Bond 2010 Series 1

5.   N35 billion 4th FGN Bond 2012 Series 2

6.   N35 billion 4th FGN Bond 2013 Series 3.

7.   N2.46 billion Special FGN Bond for Local Contractors 2012

8.   N9.23 billion Special FGN Bond for Local Contractors 2012

9.   N65 billion 4th FGN Bond 2010 Series 4

10. N50 billion 4th FGN Bond 2012 Series 5

11. N45 billion 4th FGN Bond 2014 Series 6

12. N36 billion 4th FGN Bond 2010 Series 7

13. N20 billion 4th FGN Bond 2017 Series 8

14. N20 billion 4th FGN Bond 2017 Series 9

15. N20 billion 4th FGN Bond 2017 Series 9B

16. N20 billion 4th FGN Bond 2012 Series 10

17. N 37.19 billion 4th FGN Bond 2014 Series 11

 

 

Industrial Loans & Preference Stocks

1.   Standard Alliance Insurance Plc’s N17.5 Million Floating Rate Cumulative Irredeemable Preference Shares

2.   Access Bank Plc’s N13.5 billion Naira Denominated Redeemable Convertible Bond

3.   Intercontinental Bank Plc Irredeemable, Non-Cumulative Convertible Preference Shares

 

Also, there were five Memorandum Listings:

·         UBA Bond Fund

·         UBA Equity Fund

·         UBA Money Market Fund

·         UBA Balanced Fund

·         Oceanic Vintage Fund

 

2.10     Sector Reclassification

One new subsector – Airline Services was created on the Daily official List. By this action, the number of subsectors in the equity sector of the Daily Official List increased to 32.

 

Also, Afprint Nigeria Plc was reclassified on the Daily Official List from Textiles subsector to Agriculture/Agro-Allied subsector to take account of changes that have occurred in the company. Managed Funds subsector was renamed “Other Financial Institutions” to permit the listing of more companies providing ancillary financial services within the group.

 

2.11    Delisting in 2007

Eleven securities were delisted during the period under review:

 

1.      CFAO Nigeria Plc (Equity)

2.      CFAO (Nig) Plc Loan Stock

3.      CFAO Redeemable Debenture Stock

4.      CFAO Unsecured Debenture Stock (USDS)

5.      BHN Plc

6.      FRN 21st DS 2007

7.      FRN 24th DS 2006

8.      FGN 25th Floating Rate Bond 2006

9.      2nd FGN Bond 2007 Series 2

10.    2nd FGN Bond 2007 Series 4

11.    2nd FGN Bond 2007 Series 6

 

3.0       Market Development

As in previous years, The Exchange implemented certain initiatives in 2007 to broaden participation in our market, improve liquidity, and generally propel the market to greater height. These initiatives are in the important areas of capacity building, investor education, international cooperation, and new products development, including: 

 

n      Demutualisation

In keeping with the trend in the global securities market, The Nigerian Stock Exchange has commenced the process of Demutualisation, with the setting up of a committee of Council to design a blueprint for its implementation. The imperatives for Demutualisation lay in the enhanced financing opportunities it opens to The Exchange and its promise of improved efficiency in the management of The Exchange as a business.

 

n      Upgrade of market technology

The Trading Floor in Lagos was re-opened during the year, following a comprehensive overhaul of the floor that included the installation of state-of-the-art workstations, a central UPS and stabilizer, and a redesigning of the floor to accommodate more dealing members. President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, GCFR, commissioned the new world-class Trading Floor on Friday, November 9, 2007. The Exchange has in the wake of this development commenced an upgrade of the Horizon, our trading software. The upgrade to the latest version of Horizon comes with improved functionalities that would impact positively on trading on The Exchange, especially with regard to derivatives and bond trading.  

 

n      Expanded Branch Network

We commissioned the Uyo Branch of The Exchange on Saturday, May 26, 2007 and inaugurated the Automated Trading Floor on Monday, November 19, 2007.  This should give more Nigerians access to the market and expand the business opportunity for stockbrokers.  We plan to open two branches in the New Year – in Ilorin, Kwara State, and Bauchi, Bauchi State. 

 

n      Extension of Trading Hours

The Exchange increased trading hours from two hours to three hours response to increased trading activity. This has impacted positively on trading volume and enhanced the pricing efficiency of the market. 

 

n      Investor Protection Fund

During the year, the SEC approved the guidelines for the administration of the Investor Protection Fund (IPC). Subsequently, we have incorporated the fund at the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) in order to enable its independent operation. The Board of Trustees will be appointed in the New Year and arrangement made to boost the fund through additional contribution by members of The Exchange and other stakeholders.

 

n      Pre-allotment verification

In a bid to reduce the delay in the issuance of share certificates for new bank issues, there was a tripartite agreement between the CBN, SEC and The NSE for the apex bank to cancel the pre-allotment verification exercise. Hitherto, the apex bank had subjected public issues by banks in the country to scrutiny so as to disallow unscrupulous persons from laundering money through the process. The new initiative should fast track the issuance of share certificate after banks’ public offerings.

 

Also, SEC and The NSE announced December 31, 2008 as the deadline for the total phase out the issuance of share certificates for public issues. This should solve complaints associated with dispatch of share certificates to investors.

 

·         New Products

In 2007, work continued in the effort to deepen the Nigerian capital market by creating new products. Some of the new products considered by The Exchange include: Mortgage-Backed Securities, Asset-Backed Securities, Exchange-Traded Funds, and Derivatives such as Futures and Options.

 

Significant headway was made on the arrangement for the introduction of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), with the incorporation of the rules for this new market segment in the Listing Requirements of The Exchange. In the same vein, The Exchange incorporated into its Listing Requirements rules for the operation of a Third-Tier Securities Market for small and medium indigenous companies.

 

·         Cross-border Listing

The Exchange facilitated a landmark transaction that led to the successful issuance of a Global Depository Receipt (GDR) by Guaranty Trust Bank Plc on the London Stock Exchange, thereby expanding the financing options for our listed companies.

 

·         Introduction of the Third-Tier Securities Market

We introduced the Third Tier Market during 2007 with the objective of assisting indigenous small and medium enterprises access the stock market for financing. A Stakeholders Forum was held at The Exchange on July 10, 2007 to propagate the objectives of this initiative, which is also aimed at expanding our market and increasing available securities.

 

·         Regional Integration

The Exchange was an active participant in the ongoing effort to integrate the markets of West Africa. The modalities for the proposed integration are being worked out, with a view to enabling the participating countries to exploit the economy of scale inherent in an integrated West African stock market.

 

 

4.0       Future Outlook

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects a lower global GDP growth rate of 4.75% in 2008, compared with 5.2% in 2007, owing to recent financial turmoil and trade imbalances. Also, sub Saharan Africa is expected to grow from 6.1% in 2007 to 6.8% in 2008. However, IMF was more bullish on the growth prospect of the Nigerian economy, projecting a growth rate of 8%, though lower than the 11% targeted by the Federal Government. Nigeria’s growth was predicated on the coming on stream of new production facilities in the oil and gas sector.

 

There is no gainsaying that the envisaged growth would only be achievable if the current macroeconomic stability is sustained and supportive economic infrastructure are provided at optimal levels and, more importantly, when the problems in the Niger Delta area are resolved.

 

We hope that budget 2008 would be passed by the National Assembly in January 2008 as promised, so as to prevent any slow down in economic activities. Over time, we have brought to the fore challenges militating against stock market development in the country. These challenges include the incidence of multiple tax regimes on businesses and investors. Therefore, we urge the National Assembly to expedite action on all Bills on Tax and Capital Market Reforms currently before it.

 

The pace of implementation of the privatization programme during 2007 was rather slow. We hope that the Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) would expedite action during 2008 so that those companies earmarked for privatization through the stock market can be concluded without much delay.

 

We commend the Federal Government for sustaining the issuance of bonds through the Debt Management Office (DMO). These bonds, because they are in most cases long-dated have provided a reasonable depth to our market. We are gladdened by the announcement by DMO of the intention of the Federal Government to sell bonds worth N600 billion in 2008 to fund infrastructure projects. However, for the purpose of transparency and pricing efficiency, the DMO should migrate trading on the OTC to The Exchange, which has the technology to deliver on transparency and efficiency.  

 

We are confident that current growth trend in the market would be sustained in the New Year. The Primary Market promises to be busy during 2008, as insurance companies move to consolidate merger arrangements and expand capacity. Also, some companies will recapitalise using the instruments available in the market. The immediate challenge would be in the cost of transactions in the market, which rose in 2007 as the Federal Inland Revenue Services commenced charging Value-Added Tax on stockbrokers’ commission and Stock Exchange/Central Securities Clearing System Limited transaction fees.

 

We are glad that through our supportive role, some comatose listed companies have been resuscitated. In the course of 2008, we shall promote some companies from our Emerging Market to the First-Tier, while admitting new companies to the Official List, including listings in the newly introduced Third-tier Securities Market.

 

Also, The Exchange will continuously work to support government and its agencies towards the realization of Nigeria’s economic development and growth objectives, working closely with the SEC and other members of the Financial Sector Regulation Coordinating Committee (FSRCC), while maintaining relationship with operators in the international arena with a view to facilitating the flow of international investment capital to Nigeria.

 

 

 

 

 

Important Note:

While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, no responsibility is accepted for any error, which may occur in this book.

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