THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE FACTBOOK 2008

 

Published Under the Authority

 of the Council of:

 

THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE

STOCK EXCHANGE HOUSE

  2/4 Customs Street,

P.O. Box 2457, Lagos

 Telephone: 234-01-2660287, 2660305, 2660335, 2669978, 2661293

   Telex 23567 STEX.NG

Fax: 234-01-2668281, 2668724

E-mail: nse@nigerianstockexchange.biz

Website:www.nigerianstockexchange.com

 

 

BRANCHES:

Abuja (Area Office)

Kaduna

Port Harcourt

Kano

Onitsha

Ibadan

Yola

Benin

Ilorin

Uyo

 

EDITORIAL BOARD

Prof. Ndi Okereke-Onyiuke, PhD, OON (Chairman)

Mr. Kene Okafor (Editor)

Mr. Farooq Oreagba (Editor)

Mr. Arize Nwobu (Deputy Editor)

  

Copyright:

The Nigerian  Stock Exchange

ISBN 978 0262 - 1 - 6

 

Design/Typesetting by: Management Information Technology Department of The Nigerian Stock Exchange, 2/4 Customs Street, Lagos.

 

Produced by:

Pathway Communications Ltd.,

5/6, Adekunle Odunlami Crescent,

Next to AfriBank Estate,

Ilupeju - Lagos.

Nigeria.

Tel: 01-7911733

 

FACTBOOK 2008

 

 

 

2008 HALF-YEAR REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE

 

1.0 Introduction

 

Official statistics showed that GDP growth during the first quarter of the year was 6.5%, down from the 7.8% recorded during the fourth quarter of 2007. GDP growth was largely driven by the non-oil sector, which grew by 9.67%. While expecting official confirmation, economic activities appeared to slow down significantly during the second quarter of the year especially from the debilitating energy crisis and resurgence of inflationary pressures.

 

The Niger Delta remained a critical issue in the polity as militants continued to disrupt crude oil and gas production. Besides the numerous kidnappings and the untold family stress, the impact of the Niger Delta problem on the nation’s economy is enormous following the continuous shut down of oil facilities and power generating plants. Nigeria was unable to take full advantage of the rise in crude oil price on the international market, which averaged $109.5pb, 86% above the budget threshold. Also, Power supply declined drastically across the country; with overall power generation capacity below 900MW. PHCN generates at peak performance about 3,000MW though this is still grossly inadequate and results in constant outages.

 

For the first time, offshore production facilities were not spared from attacks. In June, the 225,000 barrels per day Bonga Oil Field built at a cost $3.6 billion was attacked and partially damaged. This facility operated by Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company (SNEPCO) accounts for one-tenth of Nigeria’s crude oil output and is rated as one of the largest floating production storage and offloading vessels and deep water sub-sea infrastructures globally. Though the facility had been repaired, it is yet to produce at optimal capacity. Nigeria has the capacity of producing .3.2mbd but could only produce an average of 1.8mbd attributed to the Niger Delta crisis culminating in a production shut-in of about 1.4mbd and an estimated monthly revenue loss of $6.09 billion (about N713 billion)  

 

In the latest edition of its sovereign ratings, Fitch has raised Nigeria’s long term Naira issuer default rating to BB, from BB– awarded in 2007, reinforcing that the outlook of the currency is stable. In addition to raising the Naira’s default rating, Fitch also retained the long-term foreign currency International Deposit Receipt (IDR) at BB-, same as last year’s.  Also, New York-based rating agency, Standard & Poor‘s maintained Nigeria‘s debt rating with a provision that future upgrades would be constrained by longstanding political and social tension. S&P kept Nigeria‘s long-term foreign currency rating at BB-, three levels below investment grade, with a stable outlook. Nigeria was rated at the same level by Fitch Ratings, five places below South Africa, the continent‘s largest economy. Fitch had in 2006 rated Nigeria for the first time at BB-, the same level in 2007. The upgrade of the long-term local currency rating reflects the impressive development of the local debt market since 2006.

 

The economy grappled with excess liquidity especially from the releases from statutory allocations and excess crude oil account. However, we commend the apex bank for the tight monetary policy stance to curtail the excess liquidity. For instance, our database indicated that new bills of various maturities totaling N1.52 trillion were offered during the first half of the year while the subscription level was N2.01 trillion culminating in a subscription rate of 132%. The All-maturities average NIBOR closed at 13.6%, up from 11.6% in December 2007.

 

In a bid to curtail inflationary pressures, the apex bank jerked up the anchor rate, the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) twice from 9.5% to 10.25%. However, the efforts at controlling inflation proved abortive as shown by the upward spike in the year-on-year inflation rate from 6.6% in December 2007 to 9.7% in May 2008 consequent upon the rise in food prices, building materials and energy.

 

The official Naira exchange rate was stable closing at N116.63/$, compared to N116.80/$ in end-December 2007. The CBN had been able to adequately defend the exchange rate during the period with the burgeoning external reserve level. The gross official reserves that opened the year at $51.33billion stood at $59.16 billion on May 28, 2008 and capable of supporting 27 months of imports. The reserve level had earlier on May 13, 2008 crossed the $60 billion mark to stand at N62.239 billion. Estimates from the IMF indicated that Nigeria’s foreign reserves would hit $73.2billion by December 2008.

 

We implore the government to sustain the current economic reform and maintain sound fiscal and monetary policy so that the medium term objectives of Vision 202020 would be realized.

 

 

2.0    Market Turnover

Transactions in the stock market were boosted by profit taking and portfolio reviews especially with the hike in interest rates in the money market. However, prices were depressed by the harmonization of banks year-end and the initial reactions to the rumours surrounding the never confirmed “suspension of margin trading”.  

 

The Exchange recorded transactions for 121.62 billion shares worth N1.73 trillion, in contrast to 64.07 billion shares worth N866.24 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2007.  In volume terms, the half-year 2008 transaction surpassed the 138.1 billion shares recorded in the whole of 2007.

 

The Insurance sector dominated activity on the market with transaction volume of 57.5 billion valued at N239.42 billion while the Banking sector followed with transaction volume of 38.9 billion valued at N1.05 trillion.

 

The Federal Government Development Stocks Sector recorded a turnover of N1.0 million through the stock market. However, the bulk of transactions were executed over the counter (OTC) where 3.93 billion units valued at N3.95 trillion in 30,062 deals were traded. The Industrial Loans Sector recorded a turnover of N3.52 billion while the State Government Bonds and Preference Stocks sectors were inactive.

 

Turnover Ratio for the market improved to 15.2% from 13.77% in June 2007 while the rate of return on a dividend-adjusted basis stood at 46.8% compared to 70% in June 2007 on account of declines in stock prices.

 

 

3.0     Market Capitalization

The value of the 317 outstanding securities on The Nigerian Stock Exchange increased by 7.0% to close in June at N14.225 trillion compared to N13.294 trillion in December 2007. The increase was largely due to new listings (including supplementary equity issues). The 223 listed companies (equities) accounted for N11.24 trillion or 79.05% down from 88.36% in June 2007.

 

New Listings

Equity

·         Dangote Flour Mills Plc

·         Universal Insurance Co. Plc

·         Goldlink Insurance Co. Plc

·         Consolidated Hallmark Insurance Plc

·         Skye Shelter Fund Plc

·         Nigerian Bag Manufacturing Co. Plc

·         Aso Savings & Loans Plc

·         Investment & Allied Assurance Plc

·         Regency Alliance Insurance Plc

·         Fidson Healthcare Plc

·         Omatek Ventures Plc

·         Tantalizers Plc

 

There were thirty-one supplementary/capitalization issues during the first half of the year, arising from scrip issues, public offers, rights issues, placing, debt-equity conversion and stock split by quoted companies, compared with twenty-nine in the same period in 2007

 

Four securities were delisted during the period under review:

·         NFI Insurance Plc

·         FRN 22nd DS 2008

·         FGN Bond 2011 Local contractors Debt

·         FGN Bond 2012 (Local Contractors Debt Series 3)

 

Company Migration

Cutix Plc migrated from the Second-tier market to the First-tier and was reclassified in the Engineering Technology sector

 

Stock Split

On June2, 2008, the Board of Directors of Ecobank Transnational Incorporated executed stock split in the ratio of 5:1.

 

Memorandum Listing

One Memorandum Listing – FBN Heritage Fund was undertaken during the review period.

 

 

4.0    The All-Share Index

The Nigerian Stock Exchange All-Share Index dropped by 3.52% to close the first half of the year at 55,949.00, having opened the year at 57,990.22. The index had on March 5, 2008 attained its highest value of 66,371.20 before dropping to its end-June position. The decline in the index can be attributed to the drop in prices of equities especially the highly capitalized ones.

 

 

5.0    New Issues

The Exchange considered and approved a total of thirty applications for new and supplementary share issues valued at N674.71 billion compared with twenty-nine applications valued at N760.81 billion in 2007. The non-bank corporate issues accounted for 51.8% of the new issues approved during the half year 2008, with 24 applications valued at N349.23 billion, while the banking sector accounted for 48.2% with 6 applications valued at N325.5 billion. 

 

Further analysis of new issues approved during half year 2008 showed that the sum of N21.55 billion was raised through Initial Public Offering (IPO); N320.3 billion through supplementary issues and N65.44 billion through rights issues. Listing by Introduction accounted for N150.3 billion while shares placings accounted for N88.95 billion. Also, The Exchange approved one merger/acquisition application in the insurance sector valued at N3.8 billion and four applications by Unit Trust for the issuance of securities valued at N13.4 billon.

 

Out of the number of issues approved during the first half of the year, 14 applications valued at N292.65 billion have been concluded and admitted on the Daily Official List.

 

 

5.0    Market Development

On January 9, 2008, Diamond Bank Plc achieved the feat of being the first West African Bank to be listed on the Professional Securities Market (PSM) of the London Stock Exchange (LSE). This was the second Nigerian company to be listed on the London Stock Exchange and the first on the Professional Securities Market.

 

The Exchange commissioned the Ilorin Branch and its Electronic Trading Floor on Monday January 14, 2008. The Executive Governor of Kwara State, Dr. Bukola Saraki (Turaki of Ilorin) performed the commissioning promising to make the Branch one of the best in the country. Plans are at advanced stages to open branches at Bauchi, Abeokuta, Owerri and Oshogbo.

 

Also, The Nigerian Stock Exchange on Friday February 15 2008 commissioned the Electronic /Automated Trading Floor of the new branch office complex donated by the Anambra State Government in Onitsha. The branch was initially commissioned in February 1990. In attendance at the epoch making event were the Anambra State Governor, Mr. Peter Obi and his Deputy Virgy Etiaba, His Royal Highness, Obi of Onitsha, Members of the National Assembly and Anambra State Executive Council and State Assembly among other important dignitaries.

 

As part of its oversight function, the 13-member Senate Committee on Capital Market visited the Lagos Head Office of The Nigerian Stock Exchange on Monday, April 28, 2008. The visit enabled the committee members to have first hand knowledge of The Exchange’s operations and avail them the opportunity to interact with the executive management of The Exchange, management of The Exchange’s Clearing House – CSCS Limited and Stockbrokers.

 

During the half year, The Nigerian Stock Exchange and major market operators participated in International Investment Road Shows that took participants to Spain, Italy, Monte Carlo, Malta, Tunisia and Charlotte USA. We have begun to see the renewed commitment by foreign investors and Nigerians in diaspora in our market.

 

 

7.0 Outlook (July – December 2008)

We are hopeful that the Niger Delta Summit being proposed by the Federal Government would hold as scheduled and lasting peace can be sought for the area. The government has proposed to withdraw N1.2 trillion from the excess crude oil account, out of which N628billion is expected to be committed to completing ongoing energy projects. A sincere implementation of this programme would benefit the real sector of the economy. Nigeria’s non-oil sector should remain robust, owing to the expected good performances from agriculture, wholesale and retail trade, and construction.

 

The privatization programme has been inactive since the beginning of the year. Perhaps, this might be the consequences of the delay in passing major laws affecting the programme by the National Assembly. It is our hope that the second half of the year would witness increased momentum in the implementation of the privatization programme

 

We expect the primary market to remain active, especially from the banking and manufacturing sectors, while more mergers and acquisitions are expected from the insurance sector. Also, we expect that the improved liquidity in the secondary market would be sustained, particularly from the anticipated listing of companies and supplementary issues previously approved.

 

Also, the second half of the year promises to be active in the bond market especially Federal Government Bonds considering the renewed drive to curtail inflationary pressure by the apex bank. This action would boost activity in the primary market.  Indeed, the outlook for the market in the second half of the year is promising.

 

 

Statistical Summary of Market Performance in the First Half of 2008

                                                                           2008                                     2007

Volume                                                               121.62 billion shares            64.09 billion shares

Value (N)                                                            1.73 trillion                            866.72 billion

New Issues Approval (N)                                   674.71 billion                        760.81billion

The NSE All-Share Index                                  55,949.00                             51,330.46

Market Capitalization (N)                                   14.225 trillion                        8.85 trillion

Number of Listed Companies                            223                                       205

Total Number of Listed Securities                     317                                       302

Average PE Ratio                                              28.3                                      32.33

Rate of Return (%)                                            46.8                                      70

 

 

 

Important Note:

While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, no responsibility is accepted for any error, which may occur in this book.

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